Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 14

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Umea Energi Arena (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Umeå		Järfälla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.60	3.30
	1.89	3.70	3.25	Watch
	1.67	4.75	4.09
	1.86	4.12	3.47	Watch
	1.6	4.65	3.95
	1.82	3.82	3.48	Watch
	2.01	3.6	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.11)	4.03 ↑ (3.58)	3.51 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
50.9%

Draw
22.9%

Järfälla
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

25.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

23.4%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Umeå's performance.

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Järfälla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Umeå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Järfälla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Umeå - Järfälla Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pihlblad L. (G) 4. Bangala D. 16. Bawa Z. 26. Ekman D. 33. Essombe Mambingo J. 8. Godwin F. 9. Hadad R. 2. Linden N. 6. Lindmark S. (C) 11. Olawore E. 27. Rhodin F.	30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 20. Drugge E. 29. Hamidi A. 17. Khalil A. 8. Medhin T N. 22. Moller O. 24. Nisic K. 11. Ogestad O. 21. Rajamohan A. 9. Wurtz A. (C)
Substitutes
17. Forsman S. 24. Johansson V. 22. Lindgren T. 30. Remahl L. (G) 12. Yeboah E.	19. Dahir K. 7. Fox C. 1. Liantas C. (G) 5. Mazanti Nyberg F. 16. Sabery A. 6. Saweris P. 27. Taylan M. E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Drugge E. ⚽,
21', 🟨,
33', 1 - 1, Hadad R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Khalil A. ⚽,
64', Linden N. ↓, Lindgren T. ↑,
67', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Umeå have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Järfälla has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Järfälla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Umeå will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Umea FC	25	9	5	11	34:41	-7	32
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
21.06.26	Enköping - Umeå	3:1 ✺
12.06.26	Umeå - Piteå	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Sollentuna - Umeå	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Umeå - Stocksund	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Umeå - Karlstad	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWTTL
- FC Järfälla
Svenska Cupen
23.06.26	Järfälla - Arlanda	0:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Hammarby TFF - Järfälla	1:1 ✺
13.06.26	Järfälla - Arlanda	2:3 ✺
08.06.26	Järfälla - Stocksund	1:6 ✺
03.06.26	Vasalund - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTLLL

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