The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umraniyespor 18.4%
Draw 22%
Beşiktaş 59.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.3%
24.6%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.3%
24.6%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Umraniyespor's form might have worsened.
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beşiktaş's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Umraniyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.4%
0%
90.6%
Umraniyespor - Beşiktaş Predictions
Users Predictions:
Beşiktaş will win
(29 of 32 users predict this - 90.63%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.53% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 17 (21.83%), project points - 33, currently - 23, a good chance of relegated (74%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Beşiktaş has the most likely position - 3 (69.72%), project points - 71, currently - 56, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality43, small importance28, match rating36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Umraniyespor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Beşiktaş in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Umraniyespor have a series of guest games.
In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Yilmaz M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Beşiktaş: Alli D.
(Muscle Injury)
Sanuc T. T.
(Knee Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Umraniyespor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.
Czech-republic
France
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