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Current Win Probability
Trabzonspor 64.1%
Draw 20.8%
Umraniyespor 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
19.4%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.6%
18.3%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
The ML Model estimate for Umraniyespor aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Trabzonspor - Umraniyespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Trabzonspor will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Trabzonspor has the most likely position - 6 (24.02%), has project points - 61, has currently - 38, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 19 (49.84%), has project points - 30, has currently - 14, has a good chance of relegated (86%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality39, small importance19, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Trabzonspor is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Umraniyespor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Umraniyespor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Trabzonspor is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Trabzonspor won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Trabzonspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
Watch
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