Match Info

Date: 17 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Arslanboga S. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1
World	beIN Sports Connect


	Umraniyespor		Kasımpaşa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.75	2.55
	2.45	3.5	2.6
	2.55	3.45	2.5
	2.49	3.5	2.55
	2.55	3.73	2.72
	2.55	3.5	2.55
	2.46	3.66	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↓ (2.7)	3.58 ↑ (3.34)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
37.4%

Draw
26.2%

Kasımpaşa
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

31.3%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Umraniyespor - Kasımpaşa Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 21.7% – 64.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).

Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 19 (18.97%), has project points - 33, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (59%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Kasımpaşa has the most likely position - 12 (8.8%), has project points - 46, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 36, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Umraniyespor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Kasımpaşa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kasımpaşa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Umraniyespor: Kirintili S. (Injury)

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Petretta R. (Injury) Serbest T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Umraniyespor: Aires A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish Super League
11.09.22	Gaziantep - Umraniyespor	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Umraniyespor - Trabzonspor	0:1 ✺
27.08.22	Adana Demirspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
19.08.22	Umraniyespor - Galatasaray	0:1 ✺
14.08.22	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL
- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
11.09.22	Kasımpaşa - Galatasaray	2:3 ✺
04.09.22	Antalyaspor - Kasımpaşa	0:2 ✺
28.08.22	Kasımpaşa - Hatayspor	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Giresunspor - Kasımpaşa	1:0 ✺
15.08.22	Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWLL

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