The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Umraniyespor 36.8%
Draw 27.5%
Kayserispor 35.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
29.9%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
31.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
38.9%
11.1%
Umraniyespor - Kayserispor Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for Umraniyespor: 26.9% – 73.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 8).
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 19 (27.62%), has project points - 31, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (68%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Kayserispor has the most likely position - 9 (10.59%), has project points - 49, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, small importance29, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Umraniyespor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Kayserispor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Umraniyespor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Turkey
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