Match Info

1. Lig - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ümraniye Belediyesi Şehir Stadyumu (Istanbul) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Mertoglu E. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	20:00	beIN Connect, Digiturk, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Umraniyespor		Sarıyer

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.55
	2.70	3.00	2.40	Watch
	2.65	3.30	2.93
	2.53	3.31	2.68	Watch
	2.60	2.95	2.90
	2.51	3.25	2.75
	2.47	3.15	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.47)	3.15 ↓ (3.23)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umraniyespor
36.3%

Draw
29.3%

Sarıyer
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.5%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

30.1%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sarıyer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarıyer than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Umraniyespor - Sarıyer Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Umraniyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sarıyer will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Topaloglu C. (G) 70. Yildirim O. 58. Kartal M. 44. Glumac T. (C) 88. Gedik E. 8. Goksu S. 10. Djokanovic A. 17. Yilmaz B. 11. Blanco A. 27. Soukou C. 7. Hostikka S.	13. Sehic I. (G) 77. Karayel C. 24. Arslan K. 88. Osmanpasa C. (C) 5. Korkmazoglu E. 8. Silva M. 7. Alici B. 41. Gedik F. 14. Ergul T. 10. Karaca E. 9. Kor B.
Substitutes
28. Aydogan O. 20. Babacan A. 9. Bostan M. 55. Koita F. 13. Koklu O. A. (G) 12. Kosoko T. 53. Oksuz B. 16. Sen K. 77. Tasci T. 66. Yasar A.	1. Akyuz F. (G) 3. Attamah J. 17. Davas D. 4. Dikmen E. 23. Ergun U. 90. Eze E. 11. Karadag E. 53. Poko A. 19. Sen Y. 93. Thiam M.
Coaches
Albayrak T.	Bolukbasi B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Glumac T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Yildirim O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yilmaz B. ↓, Babacan A. ↑,
46', Arslan K. ↓, Dikmen E. ↑,
61', Alici B. ↓, Davas D. ↑,
61', Gedik F. ↓, Karadag E. ↑,
61', Kor B. ↓, Thiam M. ↑,
61', Gedik E. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Karaca E. ⚽,
78', Ergul T. ↓, Attamah J. ↑,
78', Blanco A. ↓, Sen K. ↑,
78', Goksu S. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
79', Dikmen E. 🟨,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 16th and 5th in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

Recent results have been tough for Umraniyespor (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sarıyer is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Umraniyespor has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Umraniyespor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 1:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Sariyer	12	4	4	4	14:17	-3	16
13	Umraniyespor	11	3	4	4	13:10	3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Umraniyespor - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umraniyespor
Turkish First League
18.09.26	Bandırmaspor - Umraniyespor	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Umraniyespor - Antalyaspor	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pendikspor - Umraniyespor	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Umraniyespor - Muğlaspor	0:1 ✺
28.08.26	Keçiörengücü - Umraniyespor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WLLLT
- Sarıyer
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Sarıyer - Boluspor	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Sarıyer - Bandırmaspor	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
01.09.26	Sarıyer - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Antalyaspor - Sarıyer	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
06.03.26	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	1:2
17.10.25	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:3
Turkish Second League White Group
11.03.16	Umraniyespor - Sarıyer	1:0
30.10.15	Sarıyer - Umraniyespor	0:2

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