Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes (Rondonópolis)


	União Rondonópolis		Ceilândia

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.88	2.92
	2.46	2.96	2.94
	2.47	2.84	3.03	Watch
	2.4	2.7	2.9
	2.4	2.88	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.12)	2.85 ↓ (2.98)	2.95 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

União Rondonópolis
37.4%

Draw
31.8%

Ceilândia
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.1%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Rondonópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Ceilândia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Rondonópolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (-4%)

União Rondonópolis - Ceilândia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Lucas Lourenco ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Henrique Vigia ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 2 - 1, Mateus Goiano ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Julen ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Johnatan Cardoso ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

União Rondonópolis could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União Rondonópolis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, União Rondonópolis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Rondonópolis
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Operário Ltda - União Rondonópolis	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	União Rondonópolis - Goiatuba	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Goiatuba - União Rondonópolis	5:1 ✺
26.04.26	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTLWL
- Ceilândia
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Capital CF Ltda - Ceilândia	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	Ceilândia - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Operário Ltda - Ceilândia	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	1:0
16.07.23	Ceilândia - União Rondonópolis	2:0
13.05.23	União Rondonópolis - Ceilândia	0:0

União Rondonópolis - Ceilândia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide