Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 9

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Municipal Stadium Engineer Luthero Lopes (Rondonópolis)


	União Rondonópolis		Luverdense

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.82	2.78
	2.58	2.66	2.82
	2.62	2.77	2.91	Watch
	2.6	2.7	2.8
	2.57	2.72	2.81
	2.62	2.71	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.57)	2.73 ↑ (2.73)	2.83 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Rondonópolis
35%

Draw
33.1%

Luverdense
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

33%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

33.6%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for União Rondonópolis have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Rondonópolis than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

União Rondonópolis - Luverdense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 1, Henan ⚽,
60', 0 - 2, Douglas Silva ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, União Rondonópolis won 5.

União Rondonópolis has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Luverdense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, União Rondonópolis won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, União Rondonópolis won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Rondonópolis
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
04.02.26	Chapada - União Rondonópolis	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Operário Ltda	0:0 ✺
27.01.26	Cuiabá - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
20.01.26	Várzea Grande - União Rondonópolis	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Primavera AC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTT
- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
04.02.26	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Luverdense - Chapada	1:0 ✺
28.01.26	Sport Sinop - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
26.01.25	Luverdense - União Rondonópolis	0:3
28.01.24	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	3:0
01.02.23	Luverdense - União Rondonópolis	2:3
19.03.22	Luverdense - União Rondonópolis	1:2
13.03.22	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	2:1
19.02.22	Luverdense - União Rondonópolis	1:0
27.02.21	União Rondonópolis - Luverdense	0:0

União Rondonópolis - Luverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide