Match Info

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	União de Santarém		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.38
	3.31	3.21	2.16	Watch
	3.10	3.00	2.14
	3.04	3.05	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.75)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
29.7%

Draw
29.6%

Lusitano GC
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Recent results have been tough for Santarém (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Lusitano GC have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Santarém has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santarém against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Lusitano GC - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Louletano - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	5:0 ✺
14.08.26	União de Santarém - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Covilhã - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL
- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Lusitano GC - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Lusitano GC - Mafra	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.11.25	Lusitano GC - União de Santarém	1:0
09.08.25	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	1:0

União de Santarém - Lusitano GC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide