Match Info

Liga 3 - Round 6

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Portugal	21:00	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Lusitano GC

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.00	2.38
	3.00	3.25	2.36
	3.06	3.25	2.3	Watch
	2.95	3.20	2.30
	3.19	3.19	2.26	Watch
	2.95	3.05	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)	3.16 ↑ (3)	2.3 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
30.9%

Draw
29.2%

Lusitano GC
40%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

União de Santarém - Lusitano GC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro R. (G) 4. Almeida D. 64. Camacho R. 9. Costinha 55. Helder Sa (C) 17. John K. 37. Maya 30. Mordomo R. 21. Nobrega J. 2. Sousa B. 5. Tiago Andre	22. Martins D. (G) 11. Andrade Male S. A. 8. Baptista T. 71. Buyla J. 53. Carvalho E. 5. Diagne O. 37. Monteiro R. 4. Santana C. (C) 77. Santiago 23. Sequeira D. 20. Silva D.
Substitutes
7. Diarra S. 18. Isnaba G. 20. Martins L. 47. Oliveira J. (G) 6. Pami M. 10. Ressurreicao D. 14. Simoes J. 27. Soumare A. 28. Vinhas D.	10. Aguas M. 2. Baixinho M. 7. Batalha R. 13. Bura . Kiko 31. Lemes M. (G) 9. Lopes D. 21. Soares M. 17. Vicente G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Nobrega J. ⚽, Sousa B. (A),
18', Santana C. 🟨,
23', 2 - 0, Costinha ⚽, Mordomo R. (A),
39', Baptista T. 🟨,
41', 3 - 0, Costinha ⚽, Tiago Andre (A),
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Monteiro R. ↓, Bura ↑,
46', Baptista T. ↓, Batalha R. ↑,
46', Silva D. ↓, Lopes D. ↑,
46', Buyla J. ↓, Aguas M. ↑,
64', Almeida D. ↓, Vinhas D. ↑,
64', Camacho R. ↓, Diarra S. ↑,
73', Costinha ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
81', Sousa B. ↓, Martins L. ↑,
81', Nobrega J. ↓, Ressurreicao D. ↑,
82', John K. 🟨,
87', Carvalho E. ↓, Soares M. ↑,

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 9th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 7th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Lusitano GC has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Santarém has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Santarém against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Lusitano GC - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.61%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Louletano - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	União de Santarém - Caldas	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Belenenses - União de Santarém	5:0 ✺
14.08.26	União de Santarém - Oliveirense	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Covilhã - União de Santarém	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL
- Lusitano GC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.09.26	Lusitano GC - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Louletano - Lusitano GC	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.26	Lusitano GC - Belenenses	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
22.08.26	Lusitano GC - Mafra	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Caldas - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
09.11.25	Lusitano GC - União de Santarém	1:0
09.08.25	União de Santarém - Lusitano GC	1:0

União de Santarém - Lusitano GC