Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 26

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	União de Tomar		Rabo de Peixe

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.7
	4.91	3.46	1.72
	4.91	3.46	1.72
	4.77	3.44	1.68
	4.5	3.5	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.56)	3.47 ↑ (3.3)	1.7 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Tomar
19.5%

Draw
26.5%

Rabo de Peixe
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

27.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

23.3%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Tomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União de Tomar's form might have worsened.

Rabo de Peixe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rabo de Peixe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União de Tomar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rabo de Peixe than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rabo de Peixe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 🟥,
65', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Rabo de Peixe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Tomar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.03.24	Fontinhas - União de Tomar	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	União de Tomar - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	União de Tomar - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Mortágua - União de Tomar	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	União de Tomar - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLL
- CD Rabo de Peixe
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
24.03.24	Rabo de Peixe - Alverca B	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Mortágua - Rabo de Peixe	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Rabo de Peixe - União de Santarém	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Marinhense - Rabo de Peixe	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Rabo de Peixe - Peniche	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.12.23	Rabo de Peixe - União de Tomar	4:2

União de Tomar - Rabo de Peixe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide