Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 24

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	União de Tomar		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.55
	6.09	3.58	1.59
	6.09	3.58	1.59
	5.91	3.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (5.14)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Tomar
15.7%

Draw
25.7%

Sertanense
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.6%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

25.8%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Tomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Tomar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Tomar is Relegated to

Tomar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sertanense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sertanense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tomar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Tomar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	União de Tomar - Alverca B	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Mortágua - União de Tomar	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	União de Tomar - União de Santarém	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Marinhense - União de Tomar	5:1 ✺
11.02.24	União de Tomar - Peniche	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLLL
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
09.03.24	Sertanense - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
03.03.24	Alverca B - Sertanense	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Fontinhas - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
24.02.24	Sertanense - Vitória de Sernache	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Mortágua - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
03.12.23	Sertanense - União de Tomar	2:1

União de Tomar - Sertanense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide