Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday


	Alverca B		Sertanense

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.68	3.3	5
	1.73	3.22	5.03
	1.86	3.2	4.34
	1.7	3.35	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.73)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	4.69 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alverca B
52.7%

Draw
27.9%

Sertanense
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27.3%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.5%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alverca B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Alverca B - Sertanense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Alverca B is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alverca B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Alverca B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.02.25	União de Coimbra - Alverca B	1:4 ✺
26.01.25	Alverca B - Marinhense	0:1 ✺
19.01.25	Peniche - Alverca B	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Alverca B - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
05.01.25	Alverca B - Alcains	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLLLW
- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
02.02.25	Pombal - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Sertanense - União de Coimbra	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Marinhense - Sertanense	2:0 ✺
12.01.25	Sertanense - Peniche	1:1 ✺
05.01.25	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
29.09.24	Sertanense - Alverca B	1:1
03.03.24	Alverca B - Sertanense	0:1
05.11.23	Sertanense - Alverca B	0:0

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