Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 11

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Flores D. (Chi)


	Unión Española		Everton de Viña

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2	3.5	3.4
	2.12	3.55	3.25	Watch
	2.24	3.6	3.21
	2.24	3.43	3.06	Watch
	2	3.4	3.4
	2.23	3.29	3.29	Watch
	2.12	3.55	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	3.27 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión Española
44%

Draw
27.2%

Everton de Viña
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.1%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Everton de Viña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton de Viña than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	20%	26.7%

Unión Española - Everton de Viña Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Everton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión Española: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 3. Vidal V. 16. Ramirez S. 21. Diaz N. 24. Norambuena G. 5. Nadruz A. 6. Jauregui B. 8. Aranguiz P. (C) 11. Uribe A. 23. Jeraldino I. 9. Suarez M.	1. Gonzalez I. (G) 4. Magallanes H. 5. Gonzalez R. 14. Baeza N. 35. Soto L. 6. Madrid A. (C) 7. Moya J. 21. Berrios B. 11. Medina A. 8. Pineiro R. 9. Campos M.
Substitutes
18. Espinoza F. . Montes C. 31. Naranjo L. 7. Ovelar F. 13. Pereira S. 12. Uribe E. (G) 15. Vasquez R.	12. Esquenazi I. (G) 32. Guzman M. 24. Oyarzun D. 30. Palacios C. 29. Ramirez I. 25. Ramos Aviles E. M. 28. Serje Orozco E. C.
Coaches
Sierra Jose L.	Larriera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Suarez M. 🟥,
27', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
45+5', Soto L. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Pineiro R. ↓, Ramos Aviles E. M. ↑,
46', Moya J. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
48', 0 - 1, Campos M. ⚽, Madrid A. (A),
56', Vidal V. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Gonzalez R. ⚽, Ramos Aviles E. M. (A),
62', Jauregui B. ↓, Naranjo L. ↑,
65', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
71', Campos M. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
78', Ramirez S. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
87', Medina A. ↓, Serje Orozco E. C. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Ramos Aviles E. M. ⚽, Palacios C. (A),
90', Aranguiz P. 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unión Española could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 2.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.25	Fluminense - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Unión Española - Deportes Concepción	5:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.25	Once Caldas - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Unión Española - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LWLLL
- Everton de Viña
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Everton de Viña - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.05.25	Everton de Viña - Palestino	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Universidad Católica - Everton de Viña	6:0 ✺
20.04.25	Everton de Viña - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	3:2 penalties
Chilean Primera Division
31.08.24	Everton de Viña - Unión Española	3:2
13.04.24	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	4:2
23.07.23	Everton de Viña - Unión Española	1:0
04.02.23	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	1:1
16.07.22	Everton de Viña - Unión Española	2:1
18.02.22	Unión Española - Everton de Viña	1:1

Upcoming Matches