Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 5
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Fluminense		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	12	Watch
	1.28	5.5	10
	1.22	6	12	Watch
	1.24	5.85	12.25
	1.26	5.7	12.09
	1.25	5	10	Watch
	1.26	5.65	11.1	Watch
	1.22	6	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.24)	5.62 ↓ (5.71)	11.43 ↓ (13.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
75%

Draw
16.7%

Unión Española
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.3%

16.5%

7.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Fluminense - Unión Española Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Unión Española (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Unión Española (7.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Unión Española (3.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión Española (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 12. Fuentes G. 16. Nonato 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 10. PH Ganso 21. Arias J. 9. Everaldo	25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 16. Ramirez S. 3. Vidal V. 21. Diaz N. 24. Norambuena G. 6. Jauregui B. 14. Nunez I. 22. Aranguiz P. 10. Uribe A. 9. Suarez M. 7. Ovelar F.
Substitutes
35. Hercules 37. Isaque Silva 11. Keno 19. Lavega J. 18. Lezcano R. 26. Manoel 77. Paulo Baya 7. Renato Augusto 6. Rene 90. Serna K. 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	8. Carvallo U. B. A. 2. Contreras K. 18. Espinoza F. 23. Jeraldino I. 11. Montes C. 31. Naranjo L. 1. Parra M. (G) 13. Pereira S. 12. Uribe E. (G) 15. Vasquez R.
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Sierra Jose L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Canobbio A. ↓, Keno ↑,
29', Nunez I. 🟥,
31', Everaldo (Pen),
36', Ovelar F. ↓, Naranjo L. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Keno ⚽, Arias J. (A),
62', Naranjo L. 🟨,
68', Suarez M. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
70', Freytes J. 🟨,
70', Vidal V. 🟨,
70', Keno 🟨,
70', Jeraldino I. 🟨,
71', PH Ganso ↓, Serna K. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Samuel Xavier ⚽,
83', Uribe A. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
83', Aranguiz P. ↓, Espinoza F. ↑,
84', Everaldo ↓, Isaque Silva ↑,
84', Samuel Xavier ↓, Hercules ↑,
84', Keno ↓, Lezcano R. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Fluminense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Unión Española's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Fluminense is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
11.05.25	Atlético Mineiro - Fluminense	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	GVCD San José - Fluminense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.25	Fluminense - Sport Recife	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
29.04.25	Fluminense - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.25	Botafogo RJ - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL
- Unión Española
Chilean Cup
11.05.25	Unión Española - Deportes Concepción	5:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.25	Once Caldas - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Unión Española - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1

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