Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN, Inter


	Once Caldas		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	7	Watch
	1.6	3.8	5.5
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.48	4.24	6.71
	1.51	4.28	6.58	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.48	4.3	6.52	Watch
	1.53	4.1	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)	4.09 ↑ (3.69)	6.18 ↑ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
61.7%

Draw
23%

Unión Española
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.6%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Once Caldas - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Once Caldas (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguirre J. (G) 24. Palacios L. 34. Cardona J. 3. Malagon J. 33. Patino J. 5. Rojas I. 28. Zuleta M. 19. Garcia M. 7. Barrios M. 20. Garcia Castillo A. 17. Moreno D. (C)	25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 16. Ramirez S. 3. Vidal V. 13. Pereira S. 18. Espinoza F. 6. Jauregui B. 15. Vasquez R. 10. Uribe A. 14. Nunez I. 22. Aranguiz P. (C) 9. Suarez M.
Substitutes
9. Alvarez G. 31. Arteaga M. 8. Beltran E. 15. Castano J. 16. Contreras J. 6. Diaz J. 30. Dorrego H. 2. Garcia J. 35. Parra J. (G) 39. Rincon Jacome H. 18. Riquett J. 29. Valencia Y.	8. Carvallo U. B. A. 4. Celis M. 2. Contreras K. 30. Garrido N. 11. Montes C. 31. Naranjo L. 24. Norambuena G. 7. Ovelar F. 1. Parra M. (G)
Coaches
Herrera H.	Sierra Jose L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Palacios L. ⚽, Garcia Castillo A. (A),
35', Aranguiz P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Palacios L. 🟨,
56', Ramirez S. 🟨,
58', Vasquez R. ↓, Ovelar F. ↑,
63', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
70', Pereira S. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
74', Garcia M. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
82', Barrios M. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
82', Rojas I. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
82', Suarez M. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
90+3', Diaz J. 🟨,

Preview

In recent matches, Once Caldas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unión Española's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.

In this match, Once Caldas is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Once Caldas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
04.05.25	Unión Magdalena - Once Caldas	Abandoned ✺
01.05.25	Envigado - Once Caldas	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.04.25	GVCD San José - Once Caldas	2:3 ✺
Colombian Primera A
19.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Once Caldas - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 ?WWLW
- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Unión Española - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.04.25	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Unión Española - Ñublense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Unión Española - Once Caldas	0:2

Upcoming Matches