Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.9
	1.98	3.6	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.62	3.72
	1.96	3.53	3.67	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.9
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.6	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.93)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	3.71 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
48.4%

Draw
26.2%

Cobresal
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

26.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

28.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Unión Española - Cobresal Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Unión Española will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Cobresal will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobresal: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cobresal will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Torgnascioli F. (G) 3. Vidal V. 16. Ramirez S. 21. Diaz N. 24. Norambuena G. 6. Jauregui B. 7. Ovelar F. 8. Carvallo U. B. A. 11. Montes C. 9. Suarez M. 22. Aranguiz P. (C)	30. Pinos J. (G) 17. Barrera C. 3. Toro C. 20. Tiznado J. 15. Fernandez V. 28. Cespedes D. 13. Mesias C. (C) 10. Henriquez Neira J. A. 6. Valenzuela B. 9. Coelho D. 18. Munder C.
Substitutes
2. Contreras K. 18. Espinoza F. 31. Naranjo L. 14. Nunez I. 1. Parra M. (G) 13. Pereira S. 15. Vasquez R.	22. Astudillo A. 16. Bechtholdt F. 21. Gaete J. 8. Marquez A. 12. Santander A. (G) 11. Vilches Araneda A. 7. Yanis C.
Coaches
Sierra Jose L.	Huerta G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Henriquez Neira J. A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Munder C. ⚽, Fernandez V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Montes C. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
46', Carvallo U. B. A. ↓, Nunez I. ↑,
51', Ramirez S. 🟨,
53', Norambuena G. 🟨,
71', Mesias C. ↓, Marquez A. ↑,
71', Valenzuela B. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
72', Toro C. 🟨,
80', Jauregui B. 🟨,
82', Jauregui B. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,
87', Diaz N. 🟨,
88', Henriquez Neira J. A. ↓, Bechtholdt F. ↑,
88', Munder C. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
88', Coelho D. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 2.

Recent form of Unión Española has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cobresal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Unión Española may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Unión Española is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:29. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Chilean Primera Division
27.04.25	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.04.25	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Unión Española - Ñublense	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Unión Española - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLWL
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
26.04.25	Cobresal - Deportes Limache	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Cobresal - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Cobresal - San Marcos de Arica	3:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.25	Unión La Calera - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
27.07.24	Unión Española - Cobresal	2:1
25.02.24	Cobresal - Unión Española	2:2
08.12.23	Unión Española - Cobresal	1:0
21.05.23	Cobresal - Unión Española	0:0
02.10.22	Cobresal - Unión Española	2:0
26.04.22	Unión Española - Cobresal	2:2
05.12.21	Unión Española - Cobresal	0:1

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