Match Info

Copa Chile - Round 6

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK (Santiago de Chile)


	Unión Española		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.55	4.1	5.2	Watch
	1.56	4.49	4.9
	1.59	4.26	4.95
	1.57	3.7	5.8
	1.58	3.98	5.36	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	4.03 ↑ (3.52)	5.21 ↓ (5.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Española
59.2%

Draw
23%

Deportes Concepción
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

25.8%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

26.3%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Española has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Unión Española - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra M. (G) 22. Aranguiz P. 21. Diaz N. 6. Jauregui B. 24. Norambuena G. 14. Nunez I. 7. Ovelar F. 16. Ramirez S. 10. Uribe A. 15. Vasquez R. 3. Vidal V.	25. Araya N. (G) 6. Astete N. 4. Caceres A. 3. Carrasco D. 13. Cornejo F. 32. Larrivey J. 22. L’Huillier N. 21. Mancilla A. 8. Manzo F. 14. Martinez S. 23. Ojeda U.
Substitutes
8. Carvallo U. B. A. 4. Celis M. 2. Contreras K. 18. Espinoza F. 23. Jeraldino I. 11. Montes C. 31. Naranjo L. 13. Pereira S. 25. Torgnascioli F. (G)	9. Escobar C. 17. Fernandez C. 7. Gillard A. 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 31. Saez I. (G) 29. Sanchez A. 27. Sepulveda N. 11. Valdivia B. 20. Zambrano Diego

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Ovelar F. ⚽,
20', Cornejo F. 🟨,
33', L’Huillier N. 🟨,
34', Uribe A. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Nunez I. ⚽, Norambuena G. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Astete N. ↓, Valdivia B. ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Aranguiz P. ⚽, Uribe A. (A),
55', Nunez I. ↓, Naranjo L. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Vasquez R. ⚽,
61', Ojeda U. 🟨,
68', Mancilla A. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
68', L’Huillier N. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
71', 4 - 1, Larrivey J. ⚽, Gillard A. (A),
74', Uribe A. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
74', Ovelar F. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
74', Aranguiz P. ↓, Espinoza F. ↑,
78', Vasquez R. ↓, Jeraldino I. ↑,
78', Ojeda U. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
78', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
83', 5 - 1, Naranjo L. ⚽, Ramirez S. (A),

Preview

Unión Española has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Deportes Concepción has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of away games.

In this match, Unión Española is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Española
Copa Sudamericana
07.05.25	Once Caldas - Unión Española	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
02.05.25	Unión Española - Cobresal	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Huachipato - Unión Española	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Unión Española - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
18.04.25	Audax Italiano - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLTL
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Cup
07.05.25	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.05.25	Cobreloa - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
30.04.25	Palestino - Deportes Concepción	4:4 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.04.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Concepción	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Concepción	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 LLTWW

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