Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 4

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.00	2.87
	2.28	2.92	2.95
	2.48	2.44	3.42
	2.42	2.71	3.29	Watch
	2.4	2.35	3.35
	2.2	3.02	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.05)	2.74 ↓ (3.3)	3.16 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
38.6%

Draw
32.9%

Mazarrón
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Molinense's form might have worsened.

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Unión Molinense - Mazarrón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', 1 - 2, ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Molinense may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Molinense holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Molinense has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2 (averaging 0.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Molinense against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Molinense	5	2	2	1	10:8	2	8
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Molinense - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.78%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.09.26	Olímpico de Totana - Unión Molinense	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Unión Molinense - San Javier	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Cartagena B - Unión Molinense	2:4 ✺
24.05.26	Unión Molinense - Olímpico de Totana	0:2 ✺
17.05.26	Olímpico de Totana - Unión Molinense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLT
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
12.09.26	Bala Azul - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Real Murcia B - Mazarrón	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Mazarrón - Águilas B	2:3 ✺
26.04.26	UCAM Murcia B - Mazarrón	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
29.03.26	Mazarrón - Unión Molinense	1:0
16.11.25	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	1:1

Unión Molinense - Mazarrón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide