Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday


	Unión Molinense		Minerva

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.3
	1.64	3.28	5.95	Watch
	1.5	3.5	7
	1.47	3.58	7.02
	1.48	3.75	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.56)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	6.52 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Molinense
60.4%

Draw
25.6%

Minerva
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

25.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

23.4%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Molinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Molinense than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Unión Molinense - Minerva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Cortes F. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Feli ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
47', 2 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
50', 3 - 1, Martinez R. ⚽,
57', 4 - 1, Rodriguez Marin I. ⚽,
69', 5 - 1, Javi Alonso ⚽,
90+1', Guerrero F. 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Molinense is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Minerva is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Minerva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Molinense is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Molinense will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Molinense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Molinense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Molinense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
07.12.25	Unión Molinense - Águilas B	4:2 ✺
23.11.25	UCAM Murcia B - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Unión Molinense - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	El Palmar - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Unión Molinense - Deportivo Marítimo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW
- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
14.12.25	Minerva - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Santomera - Minerva	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Minerva - Caravaca	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Cieza - Minerva	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Minerva - Bala Azul	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
26.01.25	Unión Molinense - Minerva	0:0
15.09.24	Minerva - Unión Molinense	2:2

Unión Molinense - Minerva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide