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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 43.5%
Draw 33.1%
Banfield 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
32.8%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
32.8%
26.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Banfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banfield than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.8%
25%
29.2%
Unión Santa Fe - Banfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Banfield will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 26.2% – 69%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 35. Vargas L. 26. Luduena J. 34. Pardo F. 3. Corvalan C. (C) 11. Del Blanco M. 10. Verde L. 24. Profini R. 8. Ham E. 9. Domina J. 31. Estigarribia M.
1. Sanguinetti F. (G) 29. Iribarren J. 2. Maldonado A. (C) 40. Riveros P. 3. De Ritis M. 8. Rios L. 5. Rio M. 19. Rios G. 20. Adoryan T. 17. Bisanz J. 28. Arturia M.
Substitutes
23. Arturia G. 21. Colazo A. 29. Diaz D. 13. Fascendini V. 7. Fragapane F. 18. Gamba L. 22. Gerometta F. 16. Martinez M. 20. Palacios J. 32. Paz N. 28. Pitton M. 1. Tagliamonte M. (G)
33. Abraham I. 11. Alaniz A. 10. Diaz D. 4. Di Luciano R. 35. Esquivel S. 21. Gonzalez M. 24. Lopez S. 26. Miranda L. 13. Oviedo B. 18. Roldan M. 25. Romero D. (G) 27. Vega G.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.
Broggi A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Corvalan C. 🟨,
33', Adoryan T. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Ham E. ⚽, Domina J. (A),
45+3', Sanguinetti F. 🟨,
45+3', Maldonado A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bisanz J. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
46', Maldonado A. ↓, Esquivel S. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Adoryan T. ⚽, Rio M. (A),
51', Esquivel S. 🟨,
54', Profini R. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
55', Luduena J. ↓, Gamba L. ↑,
62', Verde L. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
63', Ham E. ↓, Pitton M. ↑,
64', Iribarren J. ↓, Di Luciano R. ↑,
70', Domina J. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
71', Adoryan T. ↓, Vega G. ↑,
77', Arturia M. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Estigarribia M. ⚽, Gamba L. (A),
83', De Ritis M. 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Diaz D. ⚽,
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión won 3.
Recent matches Unión is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Banfield has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Unión could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Unión is a favorite.
There will not play in Unión: Angulo J.
(Knee Injury)
Canete E.
(Knee Injury)
Diaz D.
(Inactive)
Pitton B.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Banfield: Alvarez J.
(Knee Injury)
Bonifacio E.
(Injury)
Diaz D.
(Broken ankle)
Gonzalez M.
(Muscle Injury)
Nasif T.
(Ankle Injury)
Palavecino L.
(Muscle Injury)
Pombo J.
(Injury)
Rivera G.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Unión won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.3:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Unión won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.7:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Unión Santa Fe - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.85%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.