Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Lopez D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, DSports 1, Inter


	Unión Santa Fe		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	6	Watch
	1.63	3.7	5.25
	1.6	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.6	3.82	6.3
	1.6	3.79	6.17
	1.62	3.5	5	Watch
	1.62	3.71	6.02	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	3.72 ↑ (3.59)	5.72 ↑ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
58.3%

Draw
25.3%

Palestino
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Palestino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Unión Santa Fe - Palestino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Palestino (2.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Unión (1.80) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Unión Santa Fe will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Unión Santa Fe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Palestino (votes: 3 - 27.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 35. Vargas L. 34. Pardo F. 13. Fascendini V. 14. Pitton B. 20. Palacios J. 28. Pitton M. 16. Martinez M. 7. Fragapane F. 18. Gamba L. 31. Estigarribia M.	25. Perez Kirby S. A. (G) 28. Zuniga D. 42. Meza F. 13. Suarez C. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 5. Fernandez J. 10. Martinez Arce A. E. 7. Carrasco B. 14. Abrigo J. 11. Benitez J. 27. Marabel J.
Substitutes
19. Angulo J. 3. Corvalan C. 11. Del Blanco M. 29. Diaz D. 9. Domina J. 22. Gerometta F. 8. Ham E. 32. Paz N. 24. Profini R. 36. Pumpido F. 1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 10. Verde L.	18. Arias J. 16. Bizama J. 9. Castro F. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 26. Contreras D. (G) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 23. Leon J. 6. Meza N. 8. Parra P. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Vazzoler N.	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Pitton B. ↓, Del Blanco M. ↑,
29', Martinez M. ↓, Profini R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Gamba L. ⚽, Palacios J. (A),
62', Carrasco B. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
62', Benitez J. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
63', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
69', Gamba L. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
69', Fragapane F. ↓, Corvalan C. ↑,
73', Abrigo J. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
74', Espinoza Hevia V. A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
81', Fernandez J. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
82', Zuniga D. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Marabel J. ⚽, Arias J. (A),

Preview

Unión is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unión may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unión is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Unión won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano	1:1 ✺
28.04.25	Barracas Central - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.25	Mushuc Runa - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLLTT
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
03.05.25	Everton de Viña - Palestino	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
30.04.25	Palestino - Deportes Concepción	4:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
27.04.25	Palestino - Universidad de Chile	2:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Palestino - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
20.04.25	OHiggins - Palestino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Palestino - Unión Santa Fe	2:0

Upcoming Matches