The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 41.7%
Draw 29.7%
Belgrano 28.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
29.4%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.2%
29.5%
37.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión Santa Fe's performance.
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión Santa Fe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
35.7%
21.4%
Unión Santa Fe - Belgrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Belgrano will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 17% – 68.8%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Belgrano (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Unión (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Belgrano (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 35. Vargas L. 34. Pardo F. 13. Fascendini V. 14. Pitton B. 20. Palacios J. 28. Pitton M. (C) 16. Martinez M. 11. Del Blanco M. 18. Gamba L. 31. Estigarribia M.
23. Vicentini M. (G) 8. Compagnucci G. 37. Troilo M. 2. Leguizamon A. 6. Grillo F. 15. Menossi L. 5. Longo S. 11. Gonzalez F. 10. Zelarayan L. (C) 29. Jara F. 22. Fernandez N.
Substitutes
19. Angulo J. 17. Canete E. 21. Colazo A. 29. Diaz D. 9. Domina J. 7. Fragapane F. 22. Gerometta F. 8. Ham E. 26. Luduena J. 32. Paz N. 1. Tagliamonte M. (G) 10. Verde L.
16. Castro T. 1. Chicco I. (G) 24. Dattola A. 51. Hernandes R. 4. Lopez E. 32. Mavilla J. 13. Meriano N. 33. Ostchega T. 9. Passerini L. 19. Quignon F. 7. Reyna B. 12. Sanchez U.
Coaches
Vazzoler N.
Zielinski R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽, Jara F. (A),
33', Martinez M. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Gamba L. ⚽, Estigarribia M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Grillo F. ↓, Ostchega T. ↑,
46', Menossi L. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
65', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fragapane F. ↑,
70', Palacios J. ↓, Ham E. ↑,
71', Estigarribia M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
71', Jara F. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
78', Gonzalez F. ↓, Quignon F. ↑,
81', Hernandes R. 🟨,
83', Martinez M. ↓, Verde L. ↑,
87', Fernandez N. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0.
Unión has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Belgrano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Unión has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Unión: Colazo A.
(Inactive)
Luduena J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Belgrano: Espinola J.
(Inactive)
Lucco J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Unión won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Belgrano - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.5%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Cardozo T. (G) 
Vargas L. 
Zelarayan L. (C) 
Angulo J. 
Ham E. 
Reyna B. 
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