Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Georgia	Silk Sport 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
World	Disney+


	Palestino		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.4	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.13	3.3	2.44
	3.11	3.17	2.42	Watch
	3.2	3	2.25	Watch
	3.04	3.18	2.4	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.58)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.36 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palestino
30.3%

Draw
29.8%

Cruzeiro
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

28.9%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

27.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Palestino - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Palestino (1.87) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DNB - Cruzeiro (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 4 - 50%). Cruzeiro (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Palestino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cruzeiro is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Palestino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
20.04.25	OHiggins - Palestino	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Palestino - Unión La Calera	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Palestino - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
06.04.25	Unión Española - Palestino	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Mushuc Runa - Palestino	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLL
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Cruzeiro - Bahia	3:0 ✺
13.04.25	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.25	Cruzeiro - Mushuc Runa	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.04.25	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLL

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