The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Santa Fe 48.4%
Draw 29.7%
Sarmiento de Junín 22%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.8%
28%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
29.1%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
55.6%
22.2%
22.2%
Unión Santa Fe - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Unión will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Unión: 23.1% – 88.1%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sarmiento (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Mansilla M. (G) 15. Pintado J. 2. Rodriguez M. 26. Luduena J. 18. Ayala L. 8. Giaccone E. 22. Cuello B. 5. Menossi L. 11. Luna Diale M. 19. Estigarribia M. 25. Tarragona C. (C)
12. Ayala T. (G) 8. Salle S. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 3. Suarez L. 19. Contrera J. 15. Zabala C. 16. Martinez M. 21. Mavilla J. 24. Herrera J. 27. Marabel J.
Substitutes
31. Aguirre M. 38. Cerrudo V. J. 44. Fagioli T. 32. Garcia N. 46. Grella S. 10. Malcorra I. 40. Meuli L. (G) 34. Peresutti M. 12. Pitton B. 43. Ramirez E. 4. Rocha M. 29. Vera S.
1. Arboleda I. (G) 6. Arturia G. 33. Diaz G. 9. Diego Churin 5. Garcia M. 23. Gimenez E. 20. Gimenez U. 22. Gonzalez G. 7. Magnin P. 17. Nadruz A. 77. Pasquini N. 29. Santamaria T.
Coaches
Madelon L.
Sava F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Contrera J. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Tarragona C. ⚽, Giaccone E. (A),
23', Luna Diale M. ↓, Malcorra I. ↑,
44', Suarez L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Contrera J. ↓, Gimenez U. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Tarragona C. ⚽, Malcorra I. (A),
62', Malcorra I. 🟨,
66', Salle S. ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
66', Herrera J. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
71', Cuello B. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Malcorra I. ⚽, Ayala L. (A),
78', Menossi L. ↓, Peresutti M. ↑,
78', Estigarribia M. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Mavilla J. ⚽,
81', Marabel J. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
84', 4 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽,
89', Mavilla J. ↓, Gimenez E. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión won 3.
Unión has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sarmiento is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Unión is the team to beat.
There will not play in Unión: Gomes Gerth F.
(Knee Injury)
Malcorra I.
(Inactive)
Mosqueira J.
(Inactive)
Palacios J.
(Red Card)
Solari A.
(Inactive)
Vargas L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Sarmiento: Godoy J.
(Knee Injury)
Seyral A.
(Inactive)
Villalba C.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Unión won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.4:0.5).
Argentina
Austria
Brazil
Canada
Germany
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Usa
Venezuela
Watch
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Mansilla M. (G) 
Pintado J. 
Marabel J. 
Arboleda I. (G) 
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