Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday


	Unión Sur Yaiza		Mensajero

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.05	2.02
	3.34	3.02	2.02
	3.47	3.18	2.07
	3.4	2.9	2.1
	3.46	3.1	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	3.05 ↓ (3.07)	2.05 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión Sur Yaiza
26.4%

Draw
29.6%

Mensajero
44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

29.7%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Unión Sur Yaiza have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Mensajero have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Sur Yaiza than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Unión Sur Yaiza - Mensajero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Unión Sur Yaiza have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mensajero is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mensajero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mensajero might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Unión Sur Yaiza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 1:3.3).

Including home match between the teams, Unión Sur Yaiza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mensajero	4	3	0	1	4:2	2	9
15	Yaiza	4	1	0	3	4:6	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Unión Sur Yaiza
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
11.04.26	Tenerife C - Unión Sur Yaiza	1:1 ✺
01.04.26	Unión Sur Yaiza - San Bartolomé	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	UD San Fernando - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lanzarote - Unión Sur Yaiza	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Unión Sur Yaiza - Arcángel San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTLTW
- CD Mensajero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
12.04.26	Mensajero - Arcángel San Miguel	1:0 ✺
08.04.26	Real Unión - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Atlético Paso - Mensajero	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Mensajero - Tenisca	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Mensajero - Tamaraceite	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
14.01.26	Mensajero - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:0
23.04.23	Unión Sur Yaiza - Mensajero	3:2
08.01.23	Mensajero - Unión Sur Yaiza	3:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
21.03.18	Mensajero - Unión Sur Yaiza	5:1

Unión Sur Yaiza - Mensajero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide