Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 21

Date: 14 July 2023, Friday


	Unión de Sunchales		Independiente Chivilcoy

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.87	3.2
	2.1	2.4	4
	2.16	2.55	3.23
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.21	2.99	3.34
	2.15	2.75	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.58)	2.73 ↓ (3.42)	3.44 ↓ (5.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unión de Sunchales
41.3%

Draw
32.7%

Independiente Chivilcoy
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

26.4%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

26.1%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión de Sunchales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión de Sunchales's form might have worsened.

Independiente Chivilcoy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Chivilcoy's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión de Sunchales than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión de Sunchales, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Chivilcoy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	36.4%	45.5%

Unión de Sunchales - Independiente Chivilcoy Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Unión de Sunchales will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Ind Chivilcoy will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Chivilcoy: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Unión de Sunchales is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Unión de Sunchales won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Unión de Sunchales won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión de Sunchales
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.07.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Unión de Sunchales	3:0 ✺
02.07.23	Unión de Sunchales - El Linqueño	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Unión de Sunchales - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Unión de Sunchales	0:2 ✺
18.06.23	Unión de Sunchales - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWT
- Independiente Chivilcoy
Argentinian Torneo Federal
08.07.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Douglas Haig	1:0 ✺
02.07.23	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Sportivo Las Parejas - Independiente Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
18.06.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - El Linqueño	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Defensores de Pronunciamiento - Independiente Chivilcoy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
21.05.23	Independiente Chivilcoy - Unión de Sunchales	2:0
26.03.23	Unión de Sunchales - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0

Unión de Sunchales - Independiente Chivilcoy: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide