Match Info

Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Miejski (Skierniewice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Horozaniecki P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	15:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Unia Skierniewice		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.3
	2.45	3.50	2.45
	2.52	3.45	2.42
	2.86	3.75	2.38
	2.56	3.75	2.46	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.35
	2.68	3.56	2.41
	2.5	3.55	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.65)	3.56 ↓ (3.73)	2.4 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
35.4%

Draw
26%

Polonia Bytom
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

25%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

24.1%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Polonia Bytom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Unia Skierniewice - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pruszkowski S. (G) 3. Straus J. 15. Wolinski E. 28. Stepien M. 2. Gavrylenko O. 27. Bieronski J. 18. Mierzwa J. 21. Szmyd M. 52. Gaska D. 77. Burkiewicz A. 11. Bida B.	1. Banasik W. (G) 14. Szymusik G. 77. Szymanski J. 30. Krzyzak O. 17. Wolkowicz K. 8. Labojko M. 5. Mioc B. 22. Orlik K. 11. Andrzejczak K. 7. Zielinski L. 9. Wojtyra K.
Substitutes
7. Czarnecki J. 53. Dudek S. 19. Kalisz K. 17. Kaminski J. 6. Makuch D. 23. Mularczyk M. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 12. Wodzicki A. (G) 25. Wolsztynski L.	13. Gajgier A. 25. Konieczny D. 4. Malachowski A. 10. Michalski K. 18. Pena C. 19. Rumin D. 40. Snopkowski M. (G) 16. Stefanski P. 6. Wolski M.
Coaches
Socha K.	Gerega K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Wolinski E. 🟥,
36', Straus J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Labojko M. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Bieronski J. ⚽, Straus J. (A),
63', Szymanski J. 🟨,
66', Orlik K. ↓, Pena C. ↑,
66', Wojtyra K. ↓, Rumin D. ↑,
66', Labojko M. ↓, Konieczny D. ↑,
67', Gaska D. ↓, Toporkiewicz K. ↑,
67', Burkiewicz A. ↓, Dudek S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Szymusik G. ⚽,
80', Szmyd M. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
81', Toporkiewicz K. 🟨,
83', Mierzwa J. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
83', Bida B. ↓, Czarnecki J. ↑,
87', Szymusik G. 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, Rumin D. ⚽,
90+2', Zielinski L. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
90+5', Stepien M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation - Division 2 and 10th).

In recent outings, Unia Skierniewice has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Polonia Bytom shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Polonia Bytom may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Polonia Bytom	12	4	6	2	20:20	0	18
18	Skierniewice	12	3	2	7	13:20	-7	11

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Polonia Bytom: 0.54%

Last Results with these Odds

Polonia Bytom - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.73%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 1
16.10.26	Warta Poznań - Unia Skierniewice	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Unia Skierniewice - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Wisła Płock - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTLTW
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
17.10.26	Polonia Bytom - Chrobry Głogów	3:2 ✺
11.10.26	Puszcza Niepołomice - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Raków Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	4:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
18.09.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
15.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTW

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