Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Raków Częstochowa		Polonia Bytom

	1	X	2
	1.64	4.00	3.90
	1.64	3.93	4.03
	1.67	4.09	4.09
	1.62	3.85	3.95
	1.59	4.59	4.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.44)	4.09 ↓ (4.75)	4.08 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raków Częstochowa
55.6%

Draw
22.2%

Polonia Bytom
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.6%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Raków Częstochowa's form might have worsened.

Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Bytom's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Bytom, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Raków Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Karic T. (G) 3. Brorsson A. 39. Brusberg I. 5. Bulat M. 9. Makuch P. 44. Mircetic B. 88. Molnar A. 2. Napieraj J. 23. Struski K. 4. Svarnas S. 7. Tudor F. (C)	1. Banasik W. (G) 11. Andrzejczak K. 21. Kadziolka S. 30. Krzyzak O. 8. Labojko M. 22. Orlik K. 77. Szymanski J. 14. Szymusik G. 35. Trialist 9. Wojtyra K. 17. Wolkowicz K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

Raków is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Polonia Bytom have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, Raków enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Raków has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Raków against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals (averaging 0.3:0.7 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raków Częstochowa
Polish Ekstraklasa
19.09.26	Korona Kielce - Raków Częstochowa	3:2 ✺
15.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Zagłębie Lubin	2:3 ✺
11.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Motor Lublin	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Lech Poznań - Raków Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Raków Częstochowa - Górnik Zabrze	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL
- Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1
18.09.26	Polonia Bytom - Ruch Chorzów	0:0 ✺
Polish Cup
15.09.26	Widzew Łódź II - Polonia Bytom	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
11.09.26	Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Polonia Bytom - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Arka Gdynia - Polonia Bytom	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
21.05.17	Polonia Bytom - Raków Częstochowa	1:4
29.10.16	Raków Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	1:0
16.04.16	Polonia Bytom - Raków Częstochowa	1:0
19.09.15	Raków Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	0:2
Polish Division 2 - West
05.04.14	Raków Częstochowa - Polonia Bytom	0:0

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