Match Info

Division 1 - Round 11

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej (Poznań) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karski L. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	18:00	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Warta Poznań		Unia Skierniewice

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.40	3.00
	2.10	3.50	3.00
	1.95	3.45	3.20
	2.08	3.70	3.45
	2.13	3.73	3.07	Watch
	2.04	3.50	3.40
	2.11	3.58	3.16
	2.07	3.50	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 (2.06)	3.55 ↓ (3.78)	3.17 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warta Poznań
44.8%

Draw
26%

Unia Skierniewice
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

24.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

23.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warta Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Unia Skierniewice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Poznań than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Warta Poznań - Unia Skierniewice Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Warta will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Warta Poznan (2.10) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Przybylak L. (C) 6. Lelito B. 3. Azatsky O. 21. Kalata K. 7. Apolinarski J. 22. Lysiak K. 13. Niedzielski J. 17. Stefaniak M. 23. Kusztal P. 10. Mlynarczyk A. 9. Stanek M.	22. Pruszkowski S. (G) 15. Wolinski E. 2. Gavrylenko O. 3. Straus J. 18. Mierzwa J. 20. Kosior M. 6. Makuch D. (C) 24. Eizenchart B. 77. Burkiewicz A. 52. Gaska D. 11. Bida B.
Substitutes
24. Avdeev D. 77. Kendzia J. 2. Lepczynski K. 18. Najemski A. 33. Piechowiak B. (G) 99. Smoczynski M. 71. Steblecki S. 20. Szymanek K. 11. Wolczek A.	27. Bieronski J. 7. Czarnecki J. 53. Dudek S. 17. Kaminski J. 23. Mularczyk M. 21. Szmyd M. 10. Toporkiewicz K. 1. Wodzicki G. 25. Wolsztynski L.
Coaches
Tokarczyk M.	Socha K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Burkiewicz A. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Apolinarski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kosior M. ↓, Dudek S. ↑,
46', Eizenchart B. ↓, Szmyd M. ↑,
55', Mlynarczyk A. ↓, Szymanek K. ↑,
63', Makuch D. ↓, Wolsztynski L. ↑,
67', Stefaniak M. ↓, Kendzia J. ↑,
75', Lysiak K. ↓, Najemski A. ↑,
75', Kusztal P. ↓, Wolczek A. ↑,
82', Burkiewicz A. ↓, Toporkiewicz K. ↑,
88', Mierzwa J. ↓, Czarnecki J. ↑,
89', Dudek S. 🟨,
90+1', Kalata K. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 17th in the Relegation - Division 2).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Warta is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Warta has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Warta against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Warta Poznan	12	6	0	6	19:16	3	18
18	Skierniewice	12	3	2	7	13:20	-7	11

Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now

Warta Poznan: 0.67%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warta Poznań
Polish Division 1
11.10.26	Stal Mielec - Warta Poznań	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Chrobry Głogów - Warta Poznań	1:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
18.09.26	Warta Poznań - Puszcza Niepołomice	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Warta Poznań - Arka Gdynia	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Warta Poznań	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWWWL
- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 1
10.10.26	Unia Skierniewice - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Wisła Płock - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
20.09.26	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Unia Skierniewice	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Unia Skierniewice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ruch Chorzów - Unia Skierniewice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
22.11.25	Warta Poznań - Unia Skierniewice	0:2
27.07.25	Unia Skierniewice - Warta Poznań	2:1

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