Match Info

POLAND: Polish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Osrodek Sportu i Rekreacji (Skierniewice)

Referee: Rozycki A. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Unia Skierniewice		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.5	3.5	1.63
	4.75	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.43	3.5	1.75
	4.66	3.58	1.75	Watch
	4.5	3.7	1.62
	4.55	3.74	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↓ (4.62)	3.65 ↓ (3.87)	1.7 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Skierniewice
20.3%

Draw
25.3%

Ruch Chorzów
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

23.3%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

25.7%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Skierniewice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Skierniewice than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruch Chorzów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Unia Skierniewice - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: Ruch Chorzów will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pruszkowski S. (G) 39. Cegielka M. 7. Czarnecki J. 5. Kowalczyk K. (C) 6. Makuch D. 10. Papikyan A. 9. Sabillo K. 19. Soltysinski S. 28. Stepien M. 21. Szmyd M. 15. Wolinski E.	1. Szymanski J. (G) 28. Borowski F. 15. Konczkowski M. 17. Lukic A. 13. Moneta L. 86. Novothny S. 21. Sadlok M. (C) 10. Starzynski F. 27. Szwoch M. 20. Szymanski S. 25. Ventura D.
Substitutes
14. Kwiatkowski J. 11. Lapinski S. 26. Melich O. 77. Michulka O. 2. Rosinski M. 12. Rychlica K. (G) 23. Turek K. 99. Yavorskyi V. 42. Zajac F.	24. Baranski B. 6. Chmarek M. 26. Gora L. 38. Karasinski S. 7. Kozak M. 23. Mezghrani M. 11. Myszor J. 95. Szczepan D. 88. Turk M. (G)
Coaches
Socha K.	Szulczek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Szwoch M. ⚽, Szymanski S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Sadlok M. 🟨,
60', Szmyd M. ↓, Kwiatkowski J. ↑,
60', Cegielka M. ↓, Lapinski S. ↑,
60', Sadlok M. ↓, Mezghrani M. ↑,
66', Borowski F. ↓, Baranski B. ↑,
67', Moneta L. ↓, Myszor J. ↑,
67', Starzynski F. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Baranski B. ⚽,
74', Lukic A. 🟨,
74', Lukic A. 🟨,
77', Makuch D. ↓, Melich O. ↑,
77', Soltysinski S. ↓, Yavorskyi V. ↑,
77', Czarnecki J. ↓, Rosinski M. ↑,
89', Szwoch M. ↓, Gora L. ↑,
90+1', Rosinski M. 🟨,
90+3', Kowalczyk K. 🟨,

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Ruch Chorzów could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Unia Skierniewice have a series of home games.

In this match Ruch Chorzów is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Skierniewice
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.11.24	Unia Skierniewice - Stomil Olsztyn	3:0 ✺
17.11.24	Unia Skierniewice - Polonia Lidzbark Warmiński	6:0 ✺
10.11.24	Legia II - Unia Skierniewice	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Unia Skierniewice - Sokół Aleksandrów Łódzki	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
30.10.24	Unia Skierniewice - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
29.11.24	Ruch Chorzów - Odra Opole	6:0 ✺
24.11.24	Polonia Warsaw - Ruch Chorzów	1:0 ✺
07.11.24	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	5:0 ✺
03.11.24	ŁKS Łódź - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
29.10.24	Avia Świdnik - Ruch Chorzów	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWWW

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