Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 15

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday


	Unia Swarzędz		Elana Toruń

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.3	2.42
	3.07	3.65	2.03	Watch
	2.62	3.35	2.33	Watch
	3	3.6	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.69)	3.48 ↓ (3.59)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
32.5%

Draw
26.1%

Elana Toruń
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

24.9%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

23.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Unia Swarzędz - Elana Toruń Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Sikorski O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+7', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 7).

Unia Swarzędz is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elana Toruń is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elana Toruń is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.10.25	Września - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTLL
- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
25.10.25	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Elana Toruń	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Elana Toruń - Września	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Elana Toruń - Luzino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.05.25	Unia Swarzędz - Elana Toruń	0:0
26.10.24	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	1:1
11.05.24	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	2:2
14.10.23	Unia Swarzędz - Elana Toruń	0:0
13.03.21	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	1:0

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