Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Unia Swarzędz		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	2.95
	1.95	3.55	3.1
	2.19	3.31	2.88
	2.30	3.50	2.72	Watch
	2.03	3.54	3.1	Watch
	2	3.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.75)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	2.98 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
43.7%

Draw
25.8%

Flota Świnoujście
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

24.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

24%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unia Swarzędz's performance.

Flota Świnoujście has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flota Świnoujście might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unia Swarzędz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flota Świnoujście could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Flota (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Turski H. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unia Swarzędz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unia Swarzędz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Unia Swarzędz won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Flota Świnoujście - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.32%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTW
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lech Poznań 2	1:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - GKS Jastrzębie	3:2 penalties ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Flota Świnoujście	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Flota Świnoujście - Kluczevia Stargard	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Elana Toruń - Flota Świnoujście	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.04.25	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:3
20.09.24	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	4:1
18.05.24	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	4:0
28.10.23	Flota Świnoujście - Unia Swarzędz	2:4
24.04.21	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	2:3
03.10.20	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	1:2

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