Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Cartusia Kartuzy		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.45	2.68
	2.25	3.48	2.72	Watch
	2.2	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)	3.43 ↓ (3.5)	2.7 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cartusia Kartuzy
40.4%

Draw
26.2%

Unia Swarzędz
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

26%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartusia Kartuzy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

The chances for Unia Swarzędz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartusia Kartuzy than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 1.

Cartusia Kartuzy has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Unia Swarzędz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Unia Swarzędz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cartusia Kartuzy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cartusia Kartuzy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cartusia Kartuzy
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Noteć Czarnków	3:2 ✺
17.09.25	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Wda Świecie - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTW
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
19.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	Unia Swarzędz - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
05.04.25	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	2:1
06.09.24	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:0
30.05.24	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	1:2
11.11.23	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0
07.04.23	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:0
03.09.22	Cartusia Kartuzy - Unia Swarzędz	0:2

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