Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Unia Swarzędz		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.42	4.6	5.6
	1.42	4.67	5.96	Watch
	1.39	4.65	6.09	Watch
	1.4	4.7	5.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)	4.62 ↑ (4.33)	5.72 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unia Swarzędz
64.5%

Draw
19.6%

Gedania Gdańsk
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

20.9%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.9%

20.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Gedania Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Unia Swarzędz - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, ⚽,
84', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Unia Swarzędz is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Unia Swarzędz won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:8 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Unia Swarzędz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:7 (average 2:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.09.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Kluczbork - Unia Swarzędz	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.09.24	Unia Swarzędz - Flota Świnoujście	4:1 ✺
15.09.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Unia Swarzędz	1:1 ✺
06.09.24	Unia Swarzędz - Cartusia Kartuzy	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWTT
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Sokół Kleczew	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Gryf Słupsk - Gedania Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Noteć Czarnków	1:5 ✺
31.08.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Wda Świecie - Gedania Gdańsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.04.24	Gedania Gdańsk - Unia Swarzędz	1:2
22.09.23	Unia Swarzędz - Gedania Gdańsk	3:4
29.04.23	Gedania Gdańsk - Unia Swarzędz	0:2
24.09.22	Unia Swarzędz - Gedania Gdańsk	1:3

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