Match Info

USL League One

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Werner Park (Papillion, NE)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Union Omaha		Greenville Triumph

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.4
	1.89	3.76	3.53
	1.91	3.8	3.55	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.4
	1.93	3.58	3.68	Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.92)	3.56 ↑ (3.4)	3.49 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Omaha
48.1%

Draw
25.7%

Greenville Triumph
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.1%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Omaha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Omaha than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Nuhu R. (C) 23. Boudadi Y. 4. Owusu S. 14. Kallman B. 27. Jiba R. 6. Guediri S. 8. Gabriel Cabral 11. Borczak D. 22. Tekiela K. 17. Gutierrez D. 9. Botello Faz P.	13. Knight A. (G) 22. Fritz K. 5. Fricke B. 15. Patti A. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 6. Agyaakwah I. 31. Beckford D. 9. Robles R. 10. Akio W. 19. Liadi A.
Substitutes
7. Billhardt A. 28. Caceres E. 21. Gomez A. 99. Jensen C. (G) 19. Lawrence C. 3. Malone B. 16. Wootton L.	7. Boyce D. 25. Castro L. 12. Lee E. 3. Polak T. 20. Seagrist P. 30. Torman S. (G) 14. Wu D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Agyaakwah I. 🟨,
28', Kallman B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Gabriel Cabral ↓, Caceres E. ↑,
53', 1 - 0, Tekiela K. ⚽,
62', Agyaakwah I. ↓, Seagrist P. ↑,
62', Akio W. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
72', Patti A. ↓, Wu D. ↑,
73', Borczak D. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
80', Fritz K. 🟨,
80', Herrera C. 🟨,
81', Tekiela K. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Robles R. ↓, Boyce D. ↑,
85', Botello Faz P. ↓, Malone B. ↑,
85', Tekiela K. ↓, Wootton L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Gutierrez D. ⚽, Wootton L. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Union Omaha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Union Omaha has had a series of away games.

Union Omaha might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Union Omaha won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Omaha won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.6:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Omaha ✔	29	19	4	6	53:31	22	61
16	Greenville	28	6	5	17	30:52	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Omaha
USL Cup
25.04.26	Indy Eleven - Union Omaha	1:2 ✺
USL League One
18.04.26	Richmond Kickers - Union Omaha	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Union Omaha	1:0 ✺
USL League One
11.04.26	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	AV Alta - Union Omaha	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLLWW
- Greenville Triumph
USL Cup
25.04.26	Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Greenville Triumph	3:0 ✺
USL League One
04.04.26	Naples - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Greenville Triumph - Westchester SC	4:2 ✺
25.03.26	Greenville Triumph - New York Cosmos	3:2 ✺
US Open Cup
18.03.26	Asheville City - Greenville Triumph	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
11.10.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:0
12.06.25	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	1:0
12.03.25	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	3:0
09.11.24	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	2:1
07.09.24	Union Omaha - Greenville Triumph	3:1
13.07.24	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	0:1
26.08.23	Greenville Triumph - Union Omaha	1:2

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