Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Georgetown, KY)

Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lexington		San Antonio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.50	4.00
	1.68	3.55	4.20
	1.76	3.90	4.36
	1.97	3.87	3.29	Watch
	1.70	3.40	4.33
	1.73	3.57	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.01)	3.63 ↑ (3.36)	4.15 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lexington
52.4%

Draw
25.4%

San Antonio
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.6%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

28.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lexington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lexington's performance.

San Antonio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Antonio than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lexington - San Antonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lexington will win (votes: 3 - 75%). San Antonio will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 11. Midence A. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 27. Rodrigues B. P.	98. Batrouni J. (G) 13. Ward A. 5. Souahy A. 17. Barbir D. 3. Taintor M. (C) 4. Blanco N. 10. Hernandez J. 15. Maldonado M. 14. Berron L. 22. Cuello E. 99. Sorto C.
Substitutes
40. Addams G. (G) 10. Adedokun M. 30. Blessing L. 14. Caborn A. 22. Hafferty J. 18. Henry-Scott M. 21. Muir M. 4. Ordonez A. 19. Scott T.	23. Buckmaster R. 55. Erofeev D. 7. Haakenson L. 8. Hernandez N. 24. Johnson E. 1. Sanchez R. (G)
Coaches
Hemmi M.	Llamosa C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Cuello E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Midence A. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Ferri B. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
68', 2 - 0, Rodrigues B. P. ⚽, Zengue X. (A),
69', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Henry-Scott M. ↑,
70', Cuello E. ↓, Erofeev D. ↑,
71', Taintor M. ↓, Haakenson L. ↑,
81', Epps M. ↓, Hafferty J. ↑,
83', Hernandez J. ↓, Hernandez N. ↑,
83', Sorto C. ↓, Johnson E. ↑,
89', Greene J. 🟨,
89', Zengue X. ↓, Scott T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Lexington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Antonio is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lexington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

Lexington could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lexington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Lexington won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lexington SC
USL Cup
06.06.26	Detroit City - Lexington	1:2 penalties ✺
USL Championship
30.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	1:4 ✺
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWL
- San Antonio FC
USL Cup
06.06.26	Tulsa - San Antonio	1:2 ✺
USL Championship
27.05.26	Sporting Jacksonville - San Antonio	4:4 ✺
23.05.26	San Antonio - Sacramento Republic	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	One Knoxville - San Antonio	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Phoenix Rising - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
29.03.26	San Antonio - Lexington	2:0
16.08.25	San Antonio - Lexington	0:1
29.03.25	Lexington - San Antonio	2:3

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