Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga NOFV- Sud - Round 28

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday


	Union Sandersdorf		Arnstadt

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	7.5
	1.35	5.5	6.59
	1.35	5.59	6.65
	1.34	5.12	7.17
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	5.24 ↓ (5.41)	7.08 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Sandersdorf
69.4%

Draw
17.6%

Arnstadt
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

17.1%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

14.9%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Sandersdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arnstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Sandersdorf than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Sandersdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnstadt than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Hertel B. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Wendschuch A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Kunz B. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sandersdorf is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arnstadt is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sandersdorf is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sandersdorf won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sandersdorf won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Sandersdorf
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
11.05.24	Union Sandersdorf - Auerbach	2:3 ✺
03.05.24	Halle - Union Sandersdorf	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Union Sandersdorf - Motor Marienberg	4:0 ✺
13.04.24	Union Sandersdorf - Einheit Rudolstadt	4:2 ✺
07.04.24	Budissa Bautzen - Union Sandersdorf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWWL
- SV 09 Arnstadt
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
11.05.24	Arnstadt - Ludwigsfelde	4:3 ✺
03.05.24	Auerbach - Arnstadt	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Arnstadt - Plauen	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Halle - Arnstadt	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Arnstadt - Einheit Wernigerode	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
11.11.23	Arnstadt - Union Sandersdorf	2:1
18.06.22	Union Sandersdorf - Arnstadt	2:0
05.02.22	Arnstadt - Union Sandersdorf	2:1

Union Sandersdorf - Arnstadt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide