Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Sestao

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3.1	3.6
	1.98	3.15	4.3
	2	3.07	3.82	Watch
	1.97	3.21	4.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.07)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	3.93 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
47.1%

Draw
29.5%

Sestao
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.6%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Sestao Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unionistas (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 26. Garcia M. 4. Mayor R. 5. Baz I. 21. Verges E. 7. Rastrojo J. 6. Rabadan D. 20. Tur J. A. 19. Arriba J. 9. Moreno I. 22. Santamaria G.	13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 21. Miranda A. 5. Martinez G. 12. Barandalla M. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 8. Garai G. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.
Substitutes
14. Chuca 3. Garcia C. 17. Garcia D. 18. Garcia P. 11. Gomez A. 16. Gonzalez I. 8. Martinez P. 24. Ortuno F. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)	2. Alvarez J. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 19. Rojo J. 17. Samperio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rastrojo J. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
15', 🟨,
31', Gomez A. 🟨,
35', 🟨,
40', Rabadan D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Etxeberria M. ↓, Samperio J. ↑,
60', Aznar D. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
64', Arriba J. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
73', Garcia M. 🟨,
74', Garai G. ↓, Relu ↑,
76', Santamaria G. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
76', Tur J. A. ↓, Chuca ↑,
78', Verges E. 🟨,
84', Gomez A. 🟨,
85', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

Unionistas has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sestao is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sestao may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unionistas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Unionistas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.04.25	Real Sociedad B - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Osasuna B	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Zamora - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.25	Sestao - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Osasuna B - Sestao	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.08.24	Sestao - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:1
21.01.24	Sestao - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0
26.08.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sestao	0:0

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