Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Tajonar Facilities Stadium (Pamplona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Osasuna B		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.9	2.75
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.38	3.05	3
	2.38	3.06	2.94	Watch
	2.56	3.03	2.87
	2.38	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.6)	3.02 ↑ (2.92)	2.92 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna B
38.3%

Draw
30.4%

Sestao
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

31.8%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

32.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna B than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Osasuna B - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stamatakis D. (G) 22. Arguibide I. 18. Espejo D. 4. Garriz I. 5. Mutilva C. 12. Pedroarena M. 6. Echegoyen M. 14. Huarte X. 7. Lumbreras C. 21. Garcia J. 16. Ogbuehi S.	13. Herrerin I. (G) 22. Etxeberria M. 5. Martinez G. 23. Efremov A. 12. Barandalla M. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. (C) 6. Gomez A. 8. Garai G. 15. Bustillo M. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.
Substitutes
20. Arroyo R. 3. Herrero T. 23. Lopez N. 11. Lorenzo N. 10. Morales A. 17. Moreno P. 31. Rafa (G) 9. Sancho D. 15. Santos U.	2. Alvarez J. 14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 30. Matar P. 21. Miranda A. 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 19. Rojo J. 17. Samperio J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Aznar D. ⚽,
19', 🟨,
20', 0 - 2, Bustillo M. ⚽,
28', 0 - 3, Aznar D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Garcia J. ↓, Herrero T. ↑,
49', 🟨,
55', 0 - 4, Cordoba A. ⚽,
55', Lumbreras C. ↓, Morales A. ↑,
55', Pedroarena M. ↓, Arroyo R. ↑,
60', Bustillo M. ↓, Relu ↑,
61', Ogbuehi S. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
64', 0 - 5, Gomez A. ⚽,
69', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
69', Aznar D. ↓, Planas A. ↑,
74', 1 - 5, Huarte X. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
81', Garriz I. ↓, Santos U. ↑,
85', Etxeberria M. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
86', Cordoba A. ↓, Rojo J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Osasuna B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Osasuna B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Osasuna B won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Osasuna B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.25	Amorebieta - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Osasuna B - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Barcelona B - Osasuna B	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Osasuna B - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Tarazona - Osasuna B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TTWTT
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.25	Sestao - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Sestao	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Sestao - Real Sociedad B	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Arenteiro - Sestao	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sestao - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.24	Sestao - Osasuna B	1:2
12.05.24	Osasuna B - Sestao	0:1
16.12.23	Sestao - Osasuna B	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.04.22	Osasuna B - Sestao	1:1
20.11.21	Sestao - Osasuna B	1:2
05.05.13	Sestao - Osasuna B	0:0

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