Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sestao		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.9	3.3
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	2.2	3.05	3.4
	2.31	2.95	3.69
	2.16	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.25	3.03	3.4
	2.2	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.06)	2.98 ↓ (3.17)	3.41 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
42.1%

Draw
30.9%

Ourense CF
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

30.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Sestao - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Herrerin I. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 23. Efremov A. 5. Martinez G. 12. Barandalla M. 6. Gomez A. 15. Bustillo M. 10. Martinez Ortiz L. (C) 8. Garai G. 18. Cordoba A. 9. Aznar D.	1. Marqueta R. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Raigal J. 8. Ramos J. 6. Fidalgo A. (C) 22. Noriega J. 20. Sanchez A. 7. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
14. Garcia S. 1. Garrido J. (G) 30. Matar P. 21. Miranda A. 7. Planas A. 4. Relu 19. Rojo J. 17. Samperio J.	2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 19. Rodriguez M. 12. Teijo E. 23. Xesc Fullana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
9', 1 - 0, Garai G. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Carbonell J. ⚽,
23', 2 - 1, Cordoba A. ⚽,
29', Efremov A. 🟨,
34', Alvarez J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 2, Ramos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Zalaya A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
64', Martinez Ortiz L. ↓, Samperio J. ↑,
69', Noriega J. ↓, Xesc Fullana ↑,
69', Sanchez A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
69', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
74', Alvarez J. ↓, Rojo J. ↑,
74', Garai G. ↓, Relu ↑,
79', Ramos J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
80', Cordoba A. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Sestao is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ourense CF is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sestao will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sestao won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.04.25	Barakaldo - Sestao	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Barcelona B - Sestao	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sestao - Gimnástic de Tarragona	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Osasuna B - Sestao	1:5 ✺
22.03.25	Sestao - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLWWL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Ourense CF - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.12.24	Ourense CF - Sestao	0:0

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