Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 12

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadshagens IP (Vasastaden)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlberg		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.80	1.63
	3.90	3.75	1.68	Watch
	4.43	4.25	1.65
	4.3	4.05	1.69	Watch
	3.90	3.75	1.67
	4.37	4.06	1.68	Watch
	3.25	3.55	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.25)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)	1.7 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlberg
22.7%

Draw
23.6%

Hammarby TFF
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

25.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

24.4%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Hammarby TFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hammarby TFF's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Karlberg - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karlberg will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Hammarby TFF will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Bojang E. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 19. Jemal A. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 3. Steen V. 13. Sundgren R.	1. Opancar E. (G) 25. Darboe M. 4. Eklund C. 23. Ek N. 11. Johansson A. 3. Lindahl J. 24. Loqvist W. 10. Marrah K. 7. Moczarny O. 26. Ponce D. 8. Tervonen W. (C)
Substitutes
15. Hall V. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 21. Nilsson F. 1. Okungbowa L. (G) 24. Sietsema L. 16. Vainio N.	15. Gibson W. 13. Krasniqi L. 20. Lohake A. 6. Moses S. 28. Musa I. 35. Nyberg G. (G) 21. Oreland J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Ek N. ⚽,
90+6', 0 - 2, Gibson W. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: )).

Karlberg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hammarby TFF is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hammarby TFF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hammarby TFF is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlberg won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlberg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hammarby TFF	25	13	6	6	51:25	26	45
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.06.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	3:2 ✺
31.05.26	Karlberg - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Karlberg - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLT
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
06.06.26	Gefle - Hammarby TFF	0:4 ✺
30.05.26	Hammarby TFF - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Enköping - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Hammarby TFF - Stockholm Internazionale	3:1 ✺
13.05.26	Sollentuna - Hammarby TFF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.03.26	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:3
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.10.25	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	1:1
23.05.25	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	1:1
11.08.24	Hammarby TFF - Karlberg	0:1
21.04.24	Karlberg - Hammarby TFF	2:2

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