Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 11

Date: 4 June 2026, Thursday

Location: Tunavallen (Eskilstuna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	AFC Eskilstuna		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.40	2.35
	2.58	3.5	2.38	Watch
	2.63	3.7	2.39
	2.69	3.3	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.3
	2.57	3.38	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.28)	3.42 ↓ (3.65)	2.39 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AFC Eskilstuna
35.4%

Draw
26.6%

Karlberg
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

25%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Eskilstuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Eskilstuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dyplin K. (C) 8. Ahmed I. 11. Bjorkman R. 10. Chabo E. 7. Hanson L. 2. Mahmoud L. 19. Mazalovic A. 36. Onnebro A. 5. Parallangaj T. 55. Rydh M. 16. Skoldqvist S.	1. Gkoulios A. (G) 17. Aslund H. 7. Fernandez H. 5. Geiger N. 19. Jemal A. 11. Mitku M. 8. Negash N. 2. Nieminen Eriksson F. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. (C) 24. Sietsema L. 13. Sundgren R.
Substitutes
99. Azizovic A. 6. Blomdahl O. 30. Cherif Fofana I. 9. Flodkvist A. 13. Jonasson V. (G) 25. Lif V. 24. Zhuravlev D.	4. Backman A. 35. Bojang E. (G) 15. Hall V. 25. Hogberg F. 9. Jamshidi A. 21. Nilsson F. 3. Steen V.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

AFC Eskilstuna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Karlberg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, AFC Eskilstuna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, AFC Eskilstuna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AFC Eskilstuna	25	14	5	6	47:34	13	47
10	Karlbergs	25	9	5	11	33:41	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.05.26	Hammarby TFF - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Vasalund	0:3 ✺
18.05.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Arlanda	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - AFC Eskilstuna	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Enköping - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.2 WLTWL
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
31.05.26	Karlberg - FBK Karlstad	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Karlberg	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Karlberg - Järfälla	1:3 ✺
13.05.26	Arlanda - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Karlberg - Karlstad	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.25	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	4:2
29.05.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	0:2
20.10.24	Karlberg - AFC Eskilstuna	0:1
09.06.24	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlberg	1:1

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