Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)


	United Nordic		Karlstad

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.5	1.98	Watch
	3.42	3.62	2.02
	3.23	3.54	2.04	Watch
	2.1	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.1)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	2.24 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
31.3%

Draw
26.8%

Karlstad
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.7%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

25.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United Nordic's form might have worsened.

Karlstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlstad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United Nordic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlstad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

United Nordic - Karlstad Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Karlstad (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - United Nordic (1.80) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Karlstad (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 3 - 50%). Karlstad (votes: 3 - 50%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garaca D. (C) 6. Aphrem G. 3. Fazal M. 77. Gursac J. 20. Harabi A. 10. Mehmeti L. 14. Miljanovic D. 4. Rogic F. 9. Shhab S. 21. Swedi E. 42. Tagesson J.	1. Karlsson M. (G) 21. Adewale I. 10. Alvers O. 12. Bellander A. (C) 8. Bjork N. 9. Carstrom J. 18. Ericsson J. 17. Jatta N. 26. Owoyemi U. 23. Rhose L. 24. Segura Bonilla J.
Substitutes
2. Behnan M. 16. Daneyl N. 7. Eminovic A. 18. Issa N. 1. Melkemichel A. (G) 44. Nnamani S. 24. Ulloa Niinivirta L.	28. Bark A. 7. Berger E. 14. Jern T. 27. Josefsson C. (G) 11. Naame L. 16. Rahimi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Bjork N. ⚽,
39', Gursac J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Shhab S. ⚽,
56', Jatta N. 🟨,
66', Fazal M. ↓, Eminovic A. ↑,
72', Carstrom J. ↓, Bark A. ↑,
73', Harabi A. ↓, Behnan M. ↑,
78', Bjork N. ↓, Berger E. ↑,
82', Shhab S. ↓, Nnamani S. ↑,
83', Mehmeti L. ↓, Ulloa Niinivirta L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, United Nordic won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, United Nordic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.06.25	Hammarby TFF - United Nordic	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	United Nordic - Enköping	3:2 ✺
14.06.25	Haninge - United Nordic	2:2 ✺
09.06.25	United Nordic - Karlberg	4:3 ✺
04.06.25	Stocksund - United Nordic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWL
- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.06.25	Karlstad - Gefle	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Hammarby TFF - Karlstad	3:1 ✺
08.06.25	Vasalund - Karlstad	1:3 ✺
03.06.25	Karlstad - Örebro Syrianska	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.04.25	Karlstad - United Nordic	2:1
05.10.24	Karlstad - United Nordic	0:2
25.05.24	United Nordic - Karlstad	3:0
14.10.23	United Nordic - Karlstad	3:1
10.04.23	Karlstad - United Nordic	1:1

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