Match Info

Superettan - Round 27

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Persson M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	13:00	TV4 Play


	United Nordic		Norrby

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.50	2.10
	2.65	3.50	2.25
	2.96	3.95	2.22
	2.75	4.05	2.21	Watch
	2.90	3.90	2.17
	2.93	3.66	2.20	Watch
	2.85	3.70	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.2)	3.75 ↓ (3.88)	2.18 ↓ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
32.7%

Draw
24.7%

Norrby
42.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.5%

24.1%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United Nordic's form might have worsened.

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norrby's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United Nordic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norrby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

United Nordic - Norrby Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Norrby will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Melkemichel A. (G) 16. Daneyl N. 77. Gursac J. (C) 12. Davis S. 20. Harabi A. 74. Aphrem C. 21. Swedi E. 8. Gronborg T. 24. Lindgren A. 11. Fisic A. 10. Durmaz E.	1. Banozic S. (G) 14. Backlund O. 5. Svendsen V. (C) 3. Engvall J. 17. Spendler T. 7. Johansson J. 18. Axede C. 16. Gustafsson F. 10. Bichis J. 11. Liimatainen K. 28. Tilly H.
Substitutes
30. Eskelinen W. (G) 3. Fazal M. 18. Issa N. 9. Lennstrom C. 25. Nesvik-Andersson L. 6. Silvander V. 5. Ygberg L.	13. Adewale I. 2. Bendrik D. 15. Ferreira E. 6. Hjalmar J. 19. Neat F. 4. Nedzibovic A. 12. Svensson T. (G) 8. Wester M.
Coaches
Younan S.	Linderoth T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Tilly H. ⚽, Liimatainen K. (A),
13', 1 - 1, Svendsen V. (Own goal),
30', Younan S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Svendsen V. 🟨,
61', 2 - 1, Aphrem C. ⚽,
64', Gursac J. 🟨,
64', Johansson J. ↓, Hjalmar J. ↑,
65', Bichis J. ↓, Adewale I. ↑,
72', Backlund O. 🟨,
80', Lindgren A. ↓, Lennstrom C. ↑,
80', Aphrem C. ↓, Issa N. ↑,
80', Axede C. ↓, Neat F. ↑,
84', Fisic A. ↓, Nesvik-Andersson L. ↑,

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th and 13th in the Division 1 - Norra (Relegation)).

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, United Nordic has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nordic United	28	10	9	9	41:47	-6	39
13	Norrby	28	5	12	11	31:41	-10	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Superettan
10.10.26	Oddevold - United Nordic	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Örebro - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
Swedish Superettan
19.09.26	United Nordic - Landskrona	1:4 ✺
14.09.26	Örebro - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
09.09.26	United Nordic - Värnamo	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTLTL
- Norrby IF
Swedish Superettan
10.10.26	Norrby - Öster	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Helsingborg - Norrby	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Norrby - Varbergs BoIS	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Ljungskile - Norrby	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Norrby - Landskrona	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
21.06.26	Norrby - United Nordic	0:0

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