Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday

Location: Estadio San Carlos de Apoquindo (Santiago de Chile)

Referee: Gamboa N. (Chi)


	Universidad Católica		Deportes Antofagasta

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	5	Watch
	1.71	3.6	4.6
	1.58	3.8	4.7
	1.7	3.6	4.7
	1.73	3.89	4.96
	1.67	3.5	4.6	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.69 ↑ (3.6)	4.77 ↓ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
55.2%

Draw
25.2%

Deportes Antofagasta
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25.4%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

27.7%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35%	10%	55%

Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Antofagasta will win (votes: 11 - 55%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Antofagasta: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 4.

Universidad Católica has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Antofagasta is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antofagasta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 50-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 27-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Copa Libertadores
24.05.22	Universidad Católica - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.22	Unión La Calera - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.05.22	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
17.05.22	Flamengo - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.05.22	Banfield - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLLT
- Deportes Antofagasta
Copa Sudamericana
24.05.22	Defensa y Justicia - Deportes Antofagasta	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
21.05.22	Deportes Antofagasta - Everton de Viña	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.05.22	Atlético Goianiense - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.05.22	Unión Española - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
08.05.22	Palestino - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
04.11.21	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	4:0
29.07.21	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	3:2
22.11.20	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:3
09.02.20	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	2:3
01.09.19	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	1:2
17.05.19	Universidad Católica - Deportes Antofagasta	5:1
04.11.18	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad Católica	1:1

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