Match Info

Date: 28 April 2022, Thursday


	Universidad Católica		Flamengo

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.8	1.6
	5.5	3.6	1.63
	5.5	3.8	1.58
	5.2	3.8	1.6
	6.03	3.98	1.61
	5.8	3.5	1.55	Watch
	5.6	3.92	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (4.42)	3.77 ↑ (3.58)	1.6 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
16.8%

Draw
24.7%

Flamengo
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.1%

26.1%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.1%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Flamengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flamengo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.4%	25.7%	62.9%

Universidad Católica - Flamengo Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). Flamengo will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 25.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Flamengo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Copa Sudamericana
27.04.22	Universidad Católica - Banfield	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
24.04.22	Universidad Católica - Colo-Colo	1:1 ✺
17.04.22	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
13.04.22	Santos - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Universidad Católica - Sporting Cristal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLW
- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
23.04.22	Athletico Paranaense - Flamengo	1:0 ✺
20.04.22	Flamengo - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
17.04.22	Flamengo - São Paulo	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.04.22	Flamengo - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.04.22	Atlético Goianiense - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
03.05.17	Flamengo - Universidad Católica	3:1
15.03.17	Universidad Católica - Flamengo	1:0

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