Match Info

Date: 16 September 2020, Wednesday


	Universidad Católica		Grêmio

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.6	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
	2.85	3.1	2.48	Watch
	3.05	3	2.39
	3.2	3.15	2.47
	3.1	3	2.45
	3.04	3.1	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.46 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
31.1%

Draw
30.7%

Grêmio
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

29.3%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

20.3%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grêmio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.8%	12.3%	13.8%

Universidad Católica - Grêmio Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 48 - 73.8%). Grêmio will win (votes: 9 - 13.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 63.1% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Universidad Católica is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Grêmio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.09.20	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.09.20	Universidad Católica - Audax Italiano	3:0 ✺
09.09.20	Huachipato - Universidad Católica	1:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.09.20	Universidad Católica - Olmedo	3:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
05.09.20	Universidad Católica - Coquimbo Unido	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWW
- Grêmio RS
Brazilian Serie A
13.09.20	Grêmio - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
10.09.20	Bahia - Grêmio	0:2 ✺
06.09.20	Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
03.09.20	Grêmio - Sport Recife	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
30.08.20	Grêmio - Caxias	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
08.05.19	Grêmio - Universidad Católica	2:0
04.04.19	Universidad Católica - Grêmio	1:0

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