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Current Win Probability
Atlético Goianiense 43%
Draw 30%
Grêmio 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
29.3%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
29.6%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Goianiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Grêmio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Goianiense than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grêmio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
35.3%
52.9%
11.8%
Atlético Goianiense - Grêmio Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Atlético GO will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Grêmio will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32% – 80.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ronaldo Strada (C) 2. Maguinho 4. Luiz Felipe 3. Adriano Martins 6. Guilherme Romao 5. Lucas Kal 8. Baralhas 7. Rhaldney 10. Shaylon 11. Luiz Fernando 9. Rodriguez E.
1. Marchesin A. (G) 18. Joao Pedro 53. Gustavo Martins 4. Walter Kannemann (C) 6. Reinaldo 17. Dodi 23. Pepe 10. Cristaldo F. 21. Pavon C. 11. Joao Pedro Galvao 13. Everton Galdino
Substitutes
13. Bruno Tubarao 18. Cruz A. 19. Derek 14. Luiz Gustavo 15. Marcao 21. Max 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 16. Randerson 17. Rodallega Y. 20. Zuleta M.
8. Carballo F. 37. Du Queiroz 15. Edenilson 2. Fabio 39. Gustavo Nunes 26. Mayk 14. Nathan 32. Nathan Fernandes 3. Pedro Geromel 33. Rafael Cabral (G) 30. Rodrigo Caio 5. Rodrigo Ely
Coaches
Gomes A.
Renato Gaucho
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Rhaldney ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
28', Everton Galdino 🟨,
32', Everton Galdino ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
32', Pavon C. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
45+2', Shaylon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', Nathan Fernandes 🟨,
49', Lucas Kal 🟨,
60', Maguinho ↓, Bruno Tubarao ↑,
70', Cruz A. 🟨,
71', Walter Kannemann 🟨,
72', 1 - 0, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
75', Baralhas 🟨,
76', Guilherme Romao ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
76', Cruz A. ↓, Max ↑,
76', Rodriguez E. 🟨,
76', Rodriguez E. ↓, Derek ↑,
80', Pepe ↓, Edenilson ↑,
80', Gustavo Martins ↓, Du Queiroz ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Reinaldo ⚽, Cristaldo F. (A),
85', Joao Pedro Galvao ↓, Rodrigo Ely ↑,
87', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
88', Edenilson 🟨,
89', Bruno Tubarao 🟨,
Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2.
Recent matches Atlético GO is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Grêmio has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Atlético GO could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Atlético GO will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Atlético GO: Gustavo Campanharo
(Injury)
Yony Gonzalez
(Injury)
There will not play in Grêmio: Andre Henrique
(Injury)
Costa D.
(Injury)
Jhonata Robert
(Injury)
Lucas Mila
(Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético GO won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético GO won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.
Brazil
Peru
World
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Ronaldo Strada (C) 
Rodriguez E. 
Marchesin A. (G) 
Joao Pedro Galvao 
Rodallega Y. 
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