Match Info

Date: 31 October 2020, Saturday


	Universidad Católica		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.6
	2.5	3.15	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.55
	2.82	3.15	2.69
	2.6	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.57	3.5	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.34)	3.26 ↓ (3.37)	2.58 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
35.9%

Draw
28.4%

Independiente del Valle
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

27.7%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

18.7%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Universidad Católica that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Independiente del Valle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 30 head-to-head matches Universidad Católica won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 34-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad Católica won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica
Copa Sudamericana
29.10.20	Sol de América - Universidad Católica	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.10.20	Universidad Católica - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.10.20	Universidad Católica - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.10.20	Orense - Universidad Católica	1:1 ✺
15.10.20	Universidad Católica - Deportivo Macará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLWTW
- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.10.20	Olmedo - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.10.20	Independiente del Valle - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.10.20	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	3:2 ✺
14.10.20	Mushuc Runa - Independiente del Valle	3:2 ✺
03.10.20	Orense - Independiente del Valle	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.03.20	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	2:2
31.08.19	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	0:1
Copa Sudamericana
30.05.19	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	3:2
23.05.19	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	5:0
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.04.19	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	2:1
07.10.18	Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica	1:3
17.09.18	Universidad Católica - Independiente del Valle	1:2

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