The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Delfín 24.4%
Draw 28.2%
Independiente del Valle 47.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18.5%
24%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.9%
23.2%
58.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Delfín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Delfín's performance.
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Delfín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente del Valle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
33.3%
66.7%
Delfín - Independiente del Valle Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Heras B. (G) 31. Arce J. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 16. Castro L. 23. Cornejo L. 34. Heredia G. 5. Medina O. 17. Rubio E. 99. Tenorio L. 78. Ushina K. 14. Zuniga E.
1. Quintana A. (G) 6. Alcivar J. 14. Carabajal M. 18. Gongora S. 9. Gonzalez C. 19. Loor L. 28. Quintana H. 56. Quintero E. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Schunke R. 10. Sornoza J.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez A. 9. Ayunta F. 51. Banguera C. 13. Cardenas B. (G) 22. Cardenas J. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 8. Moreno K. 50. Ozaeta T. 55. Reyes M. 27. Yepez E.
16. Briones R. . Carabali J. 15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 32. Mendez J. 8. Ochoa Y. 70. Peralta M. (G) . Ponce J. 99. Reasco D. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Quintana H. ⚽,
27', Quintero E. 🟨,
45', Arce J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ushina K. ↓, Reyes M. ↑,
46', Cornejo L. ↓, Moreno K. ↑,
46', 0 - 2, Quintana H. ⚽,
58', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
58', Bedoya A. 🟨,
61', Rubio E. 🟨,
62', Heredia G. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
69', Gonzalez C. ↓, Reasco D. ↑,
69', Quintana H. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
69', Gongora S. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
73', Arce J. ↓, Yepez E. ↑,
75', Yepez E. 🟨,
77', Sornoza J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
77', Quintero E. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
79', Tenorio L. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1.
Delfín has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ind del Valle shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Delfín could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Ind del Valle carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Delfín has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:28 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Delfín against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 5:7 goals (averaging 0.6:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Independiente del Valle - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.49%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Heras B. (G) 
Cornejo L. 
Quintana A. (G) 
Gonzalez C. 
Viacava J. 
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